Tuley the Tout: Picks for Weekend of Nov. 21-23
But before getting to that, a few reminders that the ViewFromVegas.com Podcast has been moved up to 7 p.m. PST Tuesdays for the live show, which can be accessed along with the archives at http://www.lvrocks.com/details.php?id=149. This week's show was again co-hosted by John Kelly and if you missed it you already missed Dave Tuley's lean on Colorado +17 vs. Oklahoma St. Thursday night (the Buffaloes nearly pulled off the huge upset before losing 31-28 but still easily covering the spread) and guest handicapper "tpking" giving the Dolphins over the Panthers. Download the 11/17/09 podcast to hear more analysis of this weekend's games.
Also of note, you can still enter the ViewFromVegas.com weekly football contests to win your choice of a free month of LIVE ODDS service from vegasinsider.com or dinner with Dave Tuley. This is the last weekend of the college contest but the NFL contest will continue through the end of the regular season with college bowl contests and an NFL playoff contest to come. See the VFV Forums for details.
This week's free selections
By Dave Tuley
Plays marked with an asterisk(*) are ones I consider best bets and intending to definitely play in the Leroy's College Challenge and the Hilton SuperContest. Please keep in mind that the lines quoted below often differ from those contest lines, which are locked in earlier in the week. This thread is meant to aid in real-world betting and I will often say I like a game but that I'm waiting for the public to steam it higher (as I play almost exclusively underdogs) to get the best price possible.
COLLEGE FOOTBALL (68-49-1 this season for a net profit of 14.1 units)
Louisville +11.5 vs. South Florida...drifting up but has probably reached peak (tpking had it 27-22)
Iowa St. +15 vs. Missouri...steaming higher so wait for peak (tpking had it 31-23)
*Kentucky +9 vs. Georgia...correction, as makana posted, Dr. Bob went against us so line up to 9.5 (tpking had it 25-23)
UConn +6 vs. Notre Dame...6 looking more solid as M has dropped from 6.5 (tpking had it 26-23)
*Air Force +10 vs. BYU...looks like 10 is best we'll see unless you got rare 10.5 (tpking had Air Force winning outright, 31-30)
Memphis +23.5 vs. Houston...grab +24 if you can get it (tpking had it 33-19)
*Army +2.5 vs. North Texas (wait to see if we get +3 (tpking had Army winning outright, 22-16)
NFL FOOTBALL (48-28-1 this season for a net profit of 17.3 units)
Bills +9 vs. Jaguars...Jags shouldn't be favored by this much over anyone (see two weeks ago vs. Chiefs)
Chiefs +10 vs. Steelers...we're still seeing inflated lines even with dogs barking lately
Ravens +1 vs. Colts...Colts moved to favoritism from earlier in week, I like that, gonna keep fading Colts
Falcons +6.5 vs. Giants...and why are Giants still getting so much respect? +7 looking possible so wait
*49ers +6.5 vs. Packers...not sure we'll get 7 here, but will still play as this should be low-scoring tight game
Seahawks +11 vs. Vikings...Seattle can actually win this if they don't beat themselves, grab 11 before it disappears
Redskins +11 vs. Cowboys...more inflation, though I don't like backing this Skins team
Bears +3 vs. Eagles...grab the 3 with lowest juice possible in case it disappears
*Titans +5 vs. Texans...Tennessee playing like last year; Texans still not reliable as fave



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